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India's benchmark BSE Sensex will recoup this year's losses
and rally about 10 percent from here to the end of December on further
improvement in the domestic economy, which is already outperforming most in
Asia. Like many global stock markets, India's has had a disappointing start to
the year but has regained most of those losses in the past month.
Indeed, the BSE index fell about 12 percent in January and February as foreign investors sold risky assets in fear of a sharper than anticipated economic slowdown in China. But in March the index rose 10 percent, their best monthly gain in more than four years boosted by big overseas inflows, even as the risks emanating from China and elsewhere around the world remain.
The Indian economy grew a robust 7.3 percent in the quarter ending December on the year before. But most of the pick-up in consumer spending was from urban regions and not rural areas where a majority of India's 1.3 billion populations live. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to cut interest rates from 6.75 percent to 6.50 percent when it meets on April 5.
Indeed, the BSE index fell about 12 percent in January and February as foreign investors sold risky assets in fear of a sharper than anticipated economic slowdown in China. But in March the index rose 10 percent, their best monthly gain in more than four years boosted by big overseas inflows, even as the risks emanating from China and elsewhere around the world remain.
The Indian economy grew a robust 7.3 percent in the quarter ending December on the year before. But most of the pick-up in consumer spending was from urban regions and not rural areas where a majority of India's 1.3 billion populations live. The Reserve Bank of India is likely to cut interest rates from 6.75 percent to 6.50 percent when it meets on April 5.
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